U.S. Politics


Will Donald Trump be president at year-end 2019?

Will Trump be president at end of 2019?
Current Market
Yes 79¢ NC
No 21¢ NC
Will Donald Trump be impeached by year-end 2019?

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2019?
Current Market
Yes 30¢ 1¢
No 70¢ 1¢
Who will be next Senate-confirmed U.N. Ambassador?

Next U.N. Ambassador?
Top Predictions
Nauert
 
 70¢ NC
Grenell
 
 4¢ NC
Will Trump executive action mention "national emergency" by Mar. 31?

"Nat'l emergency" exec. action by 3/31?
Current Market
Yes 53¢ 4¢
No 47¢ 4¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un again by Mar. 31?

2nd Trump-Kim meeting by 3/31?
Current Market
Yes 91¢ NC
No 9¢ NC
How many tweets will @realDonaldTrump post from noon Feb. 13 to noon Feb. 20?

@realDonaldTrump tweets 2/13 - 2/20?
Top Predictions
44-
 
 20¢ 2¢
70+
 
 16¢ NC
Will Donald Trump complete his first term?

Will Trump complete his first term?
Current Market
Yes 71¢ NC
No 29¢ NC
Will Trump pardon himself by year-end 2019?

Trump self-pardon by 2019?
Current Market
Yes 8¢ NC
No 92¢ NC
Will Lindsey Graham be confirmed as Attorney General by year-end 2019?

Graham confirmed AG by year-end 2019?
Current Market
Yes 3¢ NC
No 97¢ NC
Will Trump meet with Putin by Mar. 31?

Trump-Putin meeting by 3/31?
Current Market
Yes 8¢ 2¢
No 92¢ 2¢
Where will Trump and Kim meet by March 31?

Location of Trump-Kim meeting by 3/31?
Top Predictions
Vietnam
 
 91¢ 1¢
Thailand
 
 1¢ NC
How many tweets will @whitehouse post from noon Feb. 14 to noon Feb. 21?

@whitehouse tweets 2/14 - 2/21?
Top Predictions
69-
 
 20¢ 2¢
80 - 84
 
 16¢ NC
Who will be the next Senate-confirmed Secretary of the Interior?

Next confirmed DoI Secretary?
Top Predictions
Bernhardt
 
 89¢ NC
Heller
 
 4¢ NC
How many vetoes will Trump issue in 2019?

How many Trump vetoes in 2019?
Top Predictions
0 vetoes
 
 40¢ NC
1 veto
 
 29¢ NC
Will a Cabinet member be impeached in 2019?

Cabinet member impeached in 2019?
Current Market
Yes 8¢ NC
No 92¢ NC
How many tweets will @vp post from noon Feb. 15 to noon Feb. 22?

@vp tweets noon 2/15 - noon 2/22?
Top Predictions
24-
 
 19¢ 1¢
30 - 34
 
 19¢ 1¢
How many @realDonaldTrump tweets mention "shutdown" noon 2/12 - noon 2/19?

Trump "shutdown" tweets 2/12-2/19?
Top Predictions
0
 
 83¢ 6¢
3
 
 4¢ NC
What will Trump's 538 job approval index be for Feb. 19?

Trump 538 approval on 2/19?
Top Predictions
41.5+
 
 62¢ 5¢
41.2-41.4
 
 28¢ 2¢
How many tweets will @potus post from noon Feb. 15 to noon Feb. 22?

@potus tweets noon 2/15 - noon 2/22?
Top Predictions
49-
 
 28¢ 2¢
60 - 64
 
 16¢ NC
What will Trump's Rasmussen Presidential Approval Index be on Feb. 20?

Trump Rasmussen Approval Index 2/20?
Top Predictions
-5 or -6
 
 20¢ 3¢
-7 or -8
 
 20¢ 3¢
Which of these 13 members of Trump’s Cabinet will leave next?

Next WH Cabinet member to leave?
Top Predictions
Ross
 
 18¢ NC
Nielsen
 
 16¢ 3¢
Will Trump meet with Andrés Manuel López Obrador by Mar. 31?

Trump-AMLO meeting by 3/31?
Current Market
Yes 5¢ NC
No 95¢ NC
Will Trump's Rasmussen approval be 50% or higher on Feb. 20?

Trump's Rasmussen at 50+ on 2/20?
Current Market
Yes 31¢ 5¢
No 69¢ 5¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by Mar. 31?

Trump-Xi meeting by 3/31?
Current Market
Yes 58¢ 2¢
No 42¢ 2¢
How many pardons will Trump issue in 2019?

How many Trump pardons in 2019?
Top Predictions
4-
 
 47¢ NC
13+
 
 16¢ NC
Will Trump provide oral testimony in Zervos defamation case in 2019?

Trump testify in Zervos case this year?
Current Market
Yes 8¢ NC
No 92¢ NC
What will Trump's RCP average job approval be at end of day Feb. 22?

Trump RCP avg. approval 2/22?
Top Predictions
43.4-43.7
 
 31¢ NC
43.0-43.3
 
 21¢ NC

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